Danlaw Technologies India Ltd: For multi-bagger gains (BSE Code: 532329) (CMP: Rs. 60.75) (FV: Rs.10)
The earnings season so far has been weak and worries over
domestic growth continue to weigh on the market sentiment which has led the
markets back on the downward path.. A value investor, however, need not worry
about the broad markets as value stocks perform better and post good results.
One such value-pick is Danlaw Technologies India Ltd. (DTIL). Company
background: DTIL is the offshore technology and product development center of
its parent company - Danlaw Incorporated, founded by Mr. Raju Dandu and Mr.
Lloyd Lawrence in Michigan, USA in 1984. DTIL’s mission is to provide high
quality services and products in Automotive Electronics, develop R&D driven
Signal Processing technologies for communication and control, configure
solutions and provide exceptional Information Technology (IT) services in the
areas of education, health, banking and e-governance and provide world-class
products and solutions for secured access through biometric access control
technologies with intelligent solutions built around RFID (Radio Frequency
Identifications), Time and Attendance. It determines to build quality into
products and services to achieve the highest degree of customer satisfaction.
DTIL operates in four IT and Engineering activities - Engineering and
Industrial Automation, IT, Intelligent Security Systems (ISS) and Research and
Development (R&D). Its Engineering
division provides embedded software and hardware solutions with a primary focus
on Automotive« Software
and related services and has several products oriented towards Automotive
Messaging Protocols. Its IT division
develops web-enabled products and services ranging from educational products
for challenged school«
children to management of mega municipal information systems. The ISS division serves the Intelligent
Security needs for entry control into establishments and machines.« Its R«&D
division supports development of new technologies in voice processing,
identification and communication. It has developed algorithms for echo
cancellation, speech compression and modems, etc.A Time Communications
Publication 25 DTIL’s core strength is to develop activities that encompass
complete project cycles from feasibility study to requirements, design, coding,
testing, implementation and customization. This single-roof expertise has led
to consolidation of existing partnerships and customers and acquisition of new
ones, which is reflected in the speed of activity expansion of the Company as
well as its financial strength. Its clientele includes automobile majors like
General Motors, Ford, Sumitomo and Visteon. Moreover, its parent company has
been providing exceptional value in Embedded Software Solutions and Onsite
Engineering Resources to the automotive electronics industry for over 25 years.
In Q2FY16, DTIL posted net profit of Rs.48.6 lakh as against Rs.24.91 lakh in
Q2FY15. The combined profits for the first two quarters of FY16 are already
higher than the profit for FY15. Its revenues have grown 26% to Rs.264.93 lakh
from Rs.209.64 lakh y-o-y and it has been steadily reporting profit for the
past 3 years. Industry outlook: The automotive electronics industry is heavily
influenced by the widespread use of smart phones and tablets. Currently, these
devices are being used to pair with the music systems to play music, answer
calls and for navigation. However, the expensive infotainment head units could
soon get replaced with smart phones/tablets with numerous applications like
cloud-based navigation, fuel reminders, driver profile, locating parked
vehicles, real-time traffic scenario, state of battery charge,
emergency/service assist, remote vehicle interaction etc. which will be more
ground-breaking. Connected car technology is one big area that has been swept
by the revolutionizing concept called Internet of Things (IoT). Over the next
few years, automotive OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) will compete to
use connected car technologies all over the world. According to an industry
report, the connected car market is growing at a 5 year CAGR of 45% (10 times
faster than the overall car market). 75% of the expected 92 million cars
shipped globally in 2020 are expected to be built with internet-connection
hardware. DTIL and its parent company are experts in this domain and can
benefit enormously from this demand. Conclusion: The DTIL share price has
already doubled since its Q1FY16 results. If the Company is able to maintain
its consistency in profits for the next two quarters as well, then this stock
will prove to be a multi-bagger for investors. At its CMP of Rs.60.75, the
share discounts only 8.4 times its FY16E EPS of Rs.7.2 compared to 30 for Tata
Elxsi, which is one of its competitors. A P/E multiple of 15 will take its
share price to Rs.105 which is a good 40% upside from its CMP whereas an
optimistic P/E of 20 will yield Rs.150. The stock is trading at its 52-week
high/low of Rs.75.90/13.75. Accumulate this stock in the price range of
Rs.65-75 with a price target of Rs.105 in the medium-term and Rs.150 in the
long-term.
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